The 'in- person' margin Q had was D 42-R 52. if this is correct the In-person R margin will not be enough to over take the VBM D advantage. Giving Harris a 3-4 point win.
If the in-person margin reflects any erosion from Cheney/Haley voters this will be a 6+ point rout.
This means trump will need to win 3 states he lost in 2020, with Pa in the Harris bucket her chances with Mi and Wi skyrocket to 91.867%
If the in-person margin reflects any erosion from Cheney/Haley voters this will be a 6+ point rout.
This means trump will need to win 3 states he lost in 2020, with Pa in the Harris bucket her chances with Mi and Wi skyrocket to 91.867%